Archive

Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

A White House conversation on automation and what it means for America’s future

July 3, 2016 6 comments

On July 5, I’ll be participating in a conversation with White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough and Zipcar co-founder Robin Chase about robots and automation and what they mean for the future. The event will be live-streamed from the White House starting at 1:15 EDT.

Details are available on the White House blog.

Update: A video of the session can be seen here. Topics included potential for AI/robots to create unemployment, basic income as a solution, and even the potential threat of superintelligent AI.

COSversationGraphic

Categories: Uncategorized

Are we prepared for the robotic revolution?

May 6, 2016 25 comments

My new op-ed in the Financial Times:

Google’s recent announcement that its DeepMind technology had defeated one of the world’s highest-ranked champions at the ancient game of Go is just one example of the many dramatic advances unfolding in the fields of artificial intelligence and robotics. Machines are rapidly taking on ever more challenging cognitive tasks, encroaching on the fundamental capability that sets humans apart as a species: our ability to make complex decisions, to solve problems — and, most importantly, to learn. DeepMind’s feat was especially remarkable not just because the technology ultimately prevailed, but because the system largely trained itself to do so.

Read the rest at FT.com

Categories: Uncategorized

Economic Growth Isn’t Over, but It Doesn’t Create Jobs Like It Used To

March 18, 2016 9 comments

Is U.S. Economic Growth Over?

My article for Harvard Business Review:

Robert J. Gordon, an economist at Northwestern University, has recently published an important new book, The Rise and Fall of American Growth, which argues that the U.S. has entered a new age of stagnation in which our hopes for an ever more prosperous future will largely evaporate. While Gordon’s argument is often characterized as being the opposite of the one I have made in my two books about the impact of advancing automation technology on the job market (most recently, Rise of the Robots), there are many areas in which I think we would agree.

Read the rest here

 

Categories: Uncategorized

Rise of the Robots – Events – September, 2015

August 19, 2015 14 comments

I will be speaking about the rise of robots and artificial intelligence and the resulting impact on jobs and the economy at several events in September, including:


The Festival of Dangerous Ideas, Sydney Opera House, Sydney, Australia

September 5-6

There are many interesting speakers presenting provocative ideas, including Paul Krugman and Naomi Klein.


Industry of Things World, Berlin, Germany

September 21-22

This conference is focused on the “industrial internet of things.”


Kings Place, London, UK

September 23

This is a discussion about my book, The Rise of the Robots, which is releasing on the UK on September 3.


Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR), London, UK

September 24

This is a discussion about my book, The Rise of the Robots, which is releasing on the UK on September 3.

Categories: Uncategorized

“Rise of the Robots” in China – Some Random Observations

August 3, 2015 3 comments

I’ve just returned from a week-long book tour in China (my first visit) to promote the Chinese translation of my book Rise of the Robots. I spent most of the time in Beijing but also had one day in Shanghai.

chinese_coverI think that robotics and artificial intelligence are poised to eventually have a dramatic impact in China because of the country’s heavy reliance on manufacturing and also because China is faced with raising household incomes and transitioning to a consumer-driven economy at a time when information technology is far more advanced than was the case with countries like the U.S., Japan or South Korea. I wrote about these challenges recently in a New York Times op-ed.

During my trip, I spoke at three leading Chinese universities/business schools: Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, and Peking University. Most of the people who attended the talks were alumni who had attended executive MBA-type programs. Shanghai Jiao Tong, for example, runs a program specifically geared toward training the children of Chinese tycoons in order to prepare them for eventual succession. In other words, it was a pretty elite audience. I also talked to a number of print, online and television journalists.

Here are some random observations from my trip:

There seems to a very high level of interest in robots, AI, and the potential impact on jobs and society. The journalists I talked to all came prepared with long lists of detailed questions and invariably utilized the entire allotted time period. My speaking events likewise generated far more questions than could be answered in the time available.

There’s a genuine concern about the specter of mass unemployment and what it would potentially mean for social order in China. I also got a lot of questions of about the “existential” threat of advanced AI – as has been articulated by Stephen Hawking, Elon Musk, etc.

There’s lots of entrepreneurial interest in robots. Several people in the audience said they had started robotics companies in areas like educational robots for children and telepresence robots designed to monitor the elderly. I also got several questions along the lines of, “I want to manufacture robots, can you recommend a U.S. robotics company to partner with?” (My answers disappointed in this area).

shanghai

If you haven’t read Evan Osnos’s book Age of Ambition, I highly recommend it. I think it very well captures the mood in China.

One question from the audience in Shanghai—asked with genuine sincerity and enthusiasm—caused my mind to go blank for a while: “Since it looks like Donald Trump may be the next U.S. president, how will he be different from Obama? Do you think his strong business orientation will make a big difference?” My answer included the word “clown” but I’m not sure they really understood what I was saying.

One comment that I heard several times was that “If technology causes unemployment or social upheaval, that’s not our problem—it’s a problem for the government.” In other words, the Chinese government is clearly (and accurately) not perceived as being “by and for the people,” but rather something quite separate. However, people do have some level of confidence in government’s ability to solve problems.

Most Chinese continue to hold the U.S. in high regard and feel that their country lags significantly in terms of the kind of innovation you see in Silicon Valley. I pointed out that information technology diffuses pretty rapidly and that companies like Baidu are really on the leading edge in areas like deep learning. There’s a fair amount of concern about “reshoring” – or that robotic manufacturing will gravitate way from China and back to the U.S. (I think this will happen in some areas but probably not so much in electronics because the supply chain is so established in Asia; China may also benefit from its own reshoring effect as may be able to retain factories that would otherwise migrate to Southeast Asia).

Pollution is not quite as bad as I expected. It is very visible – look out your high rise hotel window in Beijing and you really can’t see very far. I would not call the sky really blue but on the better days it is perhaps “bluish”. However, I did not notice any issues with actually breathing the air. (Then, again, I didn’t go jogging either).

Everyone seems extraordinarily friendly. Beijing feels completely safe. At night, people gather in parks to play music and dance. On hot evenings elderly people sit outside and actually do use those fans you see in souvenir shops to cool themselves. Police are everywhere. They have no guns, but wear flashing blue and red led lights on their shoulders.

Public transportation is remarkably cheap. Subway fares were just recently revised to be based on distance, but I never paid more than 3 yuan (about 50 cents). Subways are extremely crowded, but there are way too many cars on the road and rush hour traffic crawls. Pedestrians are at high risk. When the “walk” light turns green and people begin crossing, drivers simply don’t care; they weave right between the pedestrians. Kind of the mirror image of Stockholm where everyone is so uptight about the rules that pedestrians will stand and wait obediently for the walk signal, even when the road is utterly barren of vehicles and there is not even the distant rumble of a running engine.

The Forbidden City is huge, but so crowded (and hot in July) that it really detracts from the experience. I much more enjoyed Jingshan Park, just to the north, where you can climb a hill (created from the earth excavated for the Forbidden City’s moat), visit a shrine with a panoramic view of both the palace complex and the city as a whole.

Toward the end of my visit I signed up for a VPN and used it successfully at one hotel. Then I moved to a different hotel, and when I connected, my entire internet connection when down almost immediately. From that point on, my laptop was unable to connect to the internet, even when not using a VPN—and even when I returned to the U.S. I was eventually able to solve the problem by reverting to a system restore point that was saved before I left for China. So if you plan to use a VPN in China, beware Big Brother behaving badly.

Categories: Uncategorized

Rise of the Robots — Reviews

June 23, 2015 1 comment

Here’s a list of some of the reviews/articles for my new book, Rise of the Robots:

New York Times Review

New York Times Book Review Podcast – “Welcome to Your Obsolescence”

New York Times Editors’ Choice

Wall Street Journal Review

Financial Times Review

Los Angeles Times Review

The Daily Beast Review

Inside Higher Ed Review

Wired Review

Los Angeles Review of Books Review

Those are all pretty positive; here’s one that’s not:

Reason

Here is the book talk I gave at Seattle Town Hall:

C-SPAN Book TV

And finally, my op-ed for the New York Times on what the rise of the robots may mean for China:

China’s Troubling Robot Revolution

Categories: Uncategorized

Rise of the Robots – Book Events, May 2015

April 30, 2015 1 comment

These are the events related to the release of my new book Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future that I have scheduled for May:

.

May 5 (Tues) – book release date

.

May 13 (Weds)  7:30 pm – The Book Smith, San Francisco, CA

.

May 14 (Thurs)  7:30 pm – Kepler’s Books, Menlo Park, CA

.

May 21 (Thurs) 7:30 pm – Seattle Town Hall, Seattle, WA

.

May 26 (Tues)  12:45 pm  Governance of Emerging Technologies Conference, ASU, (conference registration required), Scottsdale, AZ

.

May 27 (Weds)  6:00 pm – Commonwealth Club, San Francisco, CA

.

Categories: Uncategorized
Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 260 other followers